U.S. stocks and government-bond yields jumped after the monthly jobs report eased fears about a recession around the corner. Following weeks of uncertainty about tariffs and their impact on ...

The signs have been with us, depending on whom you ask, pretty much since the last recession in early 2020. First-quarter GDP showed the economy shrinking by 0.3% instead of the forecast 0.4% growth.

According to The Leuthold Group, a 28% chance of recession is still far too high based on what the market is pricing in. Ahead of past recessions — including 2000, 2008, and 2020 — cyclical ...

Nearly two-thirds of Americans say they think a recession is coming, according to a new survey from LendingTree. In the survey, conducted in April, 47 percent of respondents say they think a ...

The ‘Recession Buy Indicator’ has an impressive track record By Mark Hulbert Follow Last Updated: May 5, 2025 at 5:03 p.m. ET First Published: May 5, 2025 at 7:35 a.m. ET ...

Lately we've noticed that something we think about all the time here at Planet Money is having a viral moment: recession indicators!From the more practical (like sales for lipstick going up and ...

Since 1929, there have been 14 recessionary periods in the U.S. The most recent recession lasted two months, from February to April 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Key Takeaways The U.S. economy is likely to avoid a recession in the second half of the year, forecasters said in their mid-year outlooks.President Donald Trump has walked back some of his most ...

The odds of the U.S. entering a recession in 2025 have plummeted sharply on prediction platforms, aided by a de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade conflict.