Look, we’re making a forecast. It’s not going to be perfect. Anything within this range could reasonably happen, though we expect the result to be close to our best estimate.

In a Nature Communications paper, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI) math professor Yuri V. Lvov, Ph.D., and a team of ...

There were 1326 primary outcomes in 7543 ICD patients, 1193 in 25 058 non-ICD patients ≤35%, and 1567 in 107 603 non-ICD patients >35% during mean follow-up of 30.0, 46.5, and 57.6 months ...

New model for more accurate landslide prediction With applications in sustainable agriculture, energy, healthcare, and beyond Date: May 16, 2025 Source: Hong Kong University of Science and ...

Shan He, Song Yang, Dake Chen, Accurate Attribution and Seasonal Prediction of Climatic Anomalies Using Causal Inference Theory, Journal of Climate, Vol. 35, No. 23 (1 December 2022), pp. 7711-7724 ...

Edited by Aaron Davis | Aug. 9, 2024, at 4:29 p.m. ... Getty Images The prediction markets derive their uncanny accuracy through a concept sociologists and statisticians call "the wisdom of crowds." ...

The accuracy of such tools will be paramount for predicting extreme weather events with enough lead time to protect those in harm’s way, be it from floods in Appalachia or tornadoes in Florida.