The author of Beyond Doubt on how confidence and ability can be divorced from each other and how overconfidence can be ...

Security executives may be prone to believing cyber defenses are stronger than front-line staff see them to be, thereby ...

It's not that believers in conspiracy theories are massively overconfident; there is no data on that, because the studies ...

Expert overconfidence can have grave consequences. After the Challenger space shuttle exploded in 1986, an investigation found that NASA had officially predicted that there would be one failure in ...

China’s Generation Z is displaying a high level of overconfidence in the country’s power and hostility towards Westerners, a prominent Chinese academic on US affairs has warned. “Post ...

Hindsight bias is rooted in overconfidence and anchoring. After an event occurs, we use the knowledge of the outcome as an anchor to attach our prior judgments to the outcome.

via The evolution of overconfidence : Nature : Nature Publishing Group. Researchers have known for years that people tend to be biased towards over-confidence.

Simply put, overconfidence reduces the perception of risk. Our brains, thanks largely to evolution, are instinctively risk-averse, a tendency that overconfidence helps us overcome.

China up close Analysis: From leader to students, overconfidence clouds China Reckless policies hurt economy and delay Xi Jinping's goal to overtake U.S. KATSUJI NAKAZAWA, Nikkei senior staff writer ...