资讯

Nowcasting最新结果: 基于截至12月07日的数据,模型对2020Q4当季GDP实际同比增速预测值为6.19%,相比上一调整日大幅上修,主要来源是景气调查数据的 ...
本篇是系统化资产配置系列报告的第六篇,详细介绍了一种实时预测中国GDP增速的Nowcasting方法。 实时预测(Nowcasting)是识别当前经济状态的流行 ...
Today, nowcasting is used in different sectors, primarily for investment and economic analysis. Nowcasting predictions depend on multiple data sources and variables to reach a final metric.
Nowcasting enables policymakers to obtain forecasts of key macroeconomic indicators using higher frequency data, resulting in more timely information to guide proposed policy changes. A significant ...
This paper investigates whether nowcasting could provide a good substitute for the current estimation method. We found that the best performing nowcasting model has a margin of uncertainty very close ...
“Nowcasting” is key to weather-dependent decision making because it informs the operations of emergency services, energy management, retail, flood early-warning systems, air traffic control ...
This paper proposes a nowcasting method to produce monthly turnover figures based on value added tax that is declared partially on a monthly and partially on a quarterly frequency. Short term business ...